River flow prediction for future climate using long series of multi-site synthetic data and mike SHE model
Leszek Kuchar , Sławomir Iwański , Leszek Jelonek
AbstractA new simulation of daily flow for Kaczawa River, south-west Poland for extra long series of generated meteorological data (comparing to previous research) and selected climate change scenarios are presented. The Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios vs. SRES are introduced for simulations. The flow simulation in the river catchment is made using MIKE SHE hydrological model while the multisite data are generated by spatial weather generator SWGEN. Simulations are done for 2040 and 2060 while the simulations for the year 2000 are used as a background. The large number of new simulated series determined by the lead time, three climate change scenarios (RCP2.6 RCP4.5 and RCP6.0), and number of generated years (1000 for eachcase) is equal to 7000 for a single station. Finally, Pdf function for flow is presented as well probability of exceedance of maximum flow.
|Journal series||E3S Web of Conferences, ISSN 2555-0403, e-ISSN 2267-1242, (0 pkt)|
|Publication size in sheets||0.5|
|Conference||9th Conference on Interdisciplinary Problems in Environmental Protection and Engineering EKO-DOK, 23-04-2017 - 25-04-2017, Boguszów-Gorce, Polska|
|Internal identifier||65260; PX-5abb55a7d5dee62ce6e9d41e|
|License||Journal (articles only); published final; ; after publication|
|Score||= 15.0, 03-06-2020, ArticleFromConference|
|Publication indicators||= 5; = 2|
|Citation count*||5 (2020-09-27)|
* presented citation count is obtained through Internet information analysis and it is close to the number calculated by the Publish or Perish system.